Evidence from Labor Flows in the Period of Jobless Growth and Growthless Employment

Hosseini, Kiarash; Nili, Masoud; Joshaghani, Hosein

Evidence from Labor Flows in the Period of Jobless Growth and Growthless Employment

Document Type : Original Article

Authors

Kiarash Hosseini ¹

Masoud Nili ²

Hosein joshaghani ³

¹ دانش آموخته کارشناسی ارشد

² Faculty of Graduate School of Management and and Economy, SHarif University of Technology

³ Tehran institute of advanced studies, Khatam University

Abstract

From 1384 to 1395, Iran's labor market experienced two puzzling behaviors in the total number of employees, which we call: “puzzles of jobless growth (1384-1390) and growthless employment (1391-1395)". These two puzzles cannot be explained by focusing only on the net changes in the total number of employees. Alternatively, we need to focus on the dynamic labor market indicators. For this purpose, we estimated the labor flow rates for these two periods. Our results indicate that the sharp increase in the total number of employees between 1391 and 1395 was correlated with a sharp reduction in the separation rate and, contrary to expectation, the hire rate did not increase. We also found that, in the second period, workers became more stable in their current activity status in comparison to the first period.

Keywords

labor Flow

Hire

Separation

Job to Job Transfer

الف- فارسی

1.	بهنیا, مهران و علویان، آرش. (1396). «بررسی دینامیک بازار کار ایران و پیشبینی دوره 1395-99 با استفاده از داده‌‌های جریان.» ماهنامه مدیریت بازار کار ایران، شماره 14، صص 91-117.
2.	فلاح محسن‌خانی, زهره. (1395). «تحلیل نیروی‌کار ایران با استفاده از آمارهای جریان.» مجله‌ی بررسی‌های آمار رسمی ایران (علمی - ترویجی)، سال 26، شماره2، صص 201-230
3.	بهنیا, مهران و علویان، آرش. (1393). «بررسی ورود و خروج به جمعیت شاغل در اقتصاد ایران.» اولین کنفرانس اقتصاد ایران. 14،15 دی 1393

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